{"id":1460,"date":"2020-09-12T12:07:34","date_gmt":"2020-09-12T13:07:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/malvinartley.com\/blog.malvinartley.com\/?p=1460"},"modified":"2020-09-12T12:07:34","modified_gmt":"2020-09-12T13:07:34","slug":"lukashenkos-last-stand","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/malvinartley.com\/blog.malvinartley.com\/2020\/09\/12\/lukashenkos-last-stand\/","title":{"rendered":"Lukashenko\u2019s last stand"},"content":{"rendered":"

We have recently been witnessing yet another attempt at a color revolution, this time in the ex-Soviet republic of Belarus, in an effort to oust long-time dictator Victor \u201cBabka\u201d Lukashenko in order to install a Western-friendly government. It was previewed as what some media outlets have dubbed the \u2018slipper revolution\u2019, only to be attempted in earnest after the election in August. They didn\u2019t bother to assign a color to this one. The reason for calling it a color revolution will be covered later in this post.<\/span><\/p>\n

In the recent election in Belarus Babka claimed to have won 80% of the vote, but the election resulted in large anti-Babka protests with claims of voter fraud and the main opposition candidate, Svetlana Tsikhanuskaya fleeing the country in fear for her life after the election, having taken refuge in Lithuania. All the usual Western media talking points have been rolled out as a result, with claims of human rights abuses and so forth. There is a little problem with the attempt at this revolution, though, something called the \u2018Union State Treaty\u2019. Will Babka survive and go on to lead Belarus into the future? Will Russia intervene? Will new colors be flying over Belarus? Or will the slippers<\/a><\/span> be returned to their posts under the bed?<\/span><\/p>\n

First, we start with some background. The present Belarus was created in 1991 after the fall of the Soviet Union. It was a province of Soviet Russia after the 1917 Russian Revolution. It had a brief try at independence in 1918 and 1919<\/a><\/span>, but it never really took off and was thereafter absorbed into the Soviet republics. It is sometimes known as \u2018White Russia<\/a><\/span>\u2019, but Belarusians are a unique ethnic group<\/a><\/span>, having consolidated during the period of the Grand Duchy of Lithuania. Currently in Belarus, only just over 8% of the population are ethnic Russians, but there are deep ties to Russia.<\/span><\/p>\n

We don\u2019t have an exact time for the creation of the modern state of Belarus. Nicholas Campion gives a time of 9:00 pm local time, according to the Associated Press (cannot find a link), in Minsk, on 25 Aug 1991. The chart is below (bigger<\/a><\/span>):<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

We see trouble from the start, or at least a painful beginning, noted by the Saturn\/Chiron opposition across the 5th<\/sup>\/11th<\/sup> house axis. The 5th<\/sup> house in a national chart indicates national happiness or sorrow and community property, which is where Chiron is placed. Until Lukashenko came along, Belarus was in a sorry state. The 11th<\/sup> house, where Saturn is placed, relates to contracts and agreements with foreign countries, as well as a nation\u2019s Congress and alliances. That relates to the nation\u2019s parliamentary system and alliances. In addition, The Sun and Saturn are linked by quincunx, also a difficult aspect, denoting restrictions that are difficult of resolution, and lastly, Saturn is retrograde, showing initial problems in leadership.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mars is in an approaching trine with Saturn from the 6th<\/sup> house (services, police and military), and Saturn rules the 10th<\/sup> house (sitting government) with Capricorn on the cusp of that house. That trine is one of the \u2018wealth aspects\u2019 and builds wealth slowly but surely over time. Now, we can begin to see if the chart proves out. The key dates in Belarusian history<\/a><\/span>, short though it is in its present form, are as follows:<\/span><\/p>\n